Helping Public Health Authorities Simulate Resurgence Risks
Quebec City, April 30, 2020 – Today, a team of international collaborators from the UK and Quebec, Canada announce the publication of the COVID-19 Urban Resurgence Simulator. The COVID-19 Urban Resurgence Simulator is a predictive tool that allows public health authorities to simulate potential resurgence risks based on the adjustment of certain parameters such as probability of contact, proportion of asymptomatic people in the population and end of lockdown dates. It was developed to help determine end of lock down policies in different urban settings, obtain a deeper understanding of COVID-19’s impact on the healthcare system and the complexity in the management of the disease.
“The simulator allows setting ‘Ease-In’ and ‘Ease-Out’ for lockdown which can help transitioning to end of lock down policies in different urban settings.” explains Dr. Christian Menard, PhD Microbiology.
The Urban Resurgence Simulator is available for use free of charge at https://www.hull.ac.uk/work-with-us/research/institutes/logistics-institute/our-work/covid-19-resurgence-simulator or https://covid.muutaa.org/
About the team:
Professor Amar Ramudhin – Logistics Institute – University of Hull
Dr. Christian Menard – PhD (microbiology), HDR, consultant
Dr. Hanif Malekpoor – Greenwich University
Quynh Do – PhD candidate – University of Hull
Nina Islam, MD
Louis-Pierre Beaumont – Solution Architect
Korina Fischer – MUUTAA inc.
Barry Holleman – MUUTAA inc.
Professor Amar Ramudhin, Institute Director
Logistics Institute, University of Hull
Quebec City, Quebec